Trump’s Latino Support: Reports suggest that former President Donald J. Trump succeeded in pulling in significant amounts of Latino support. Here’s what both sides are saying. To have stories like this and more delivered directly to your inbox, be sure to sign up for our newsletter.
Story: Trump’s Latino Support
Giovanni Russonello and Patricia Mazzei, writing in The New York Times, report: “Even as Latino voters played a meaningful role in tipping the Senate and the presidency to the Democrats last year, former President Donald J. Trump succeeded in peeling away significant amounts of Latino support…according to a post-mortem analysis of the election that was released [in early April]…
The report found that certain demographics within the Latino electorate had proved increasingly willing to embrace Mr. Trump as the 2020 campaign went on, including conservative Latinas and those with a relatively low level of political engagement. Within those groups, there was a shift toward Mr. Trump across the country, not solely in areas like Miami…
Here’s what both sides are saying about former President Trump’s Latino support and what it means for President Joe Biden moving forward:
On The Left
While Democrats acknowledge some worrying signs their Hispanic support is slipping, they also believe interpreting the data is complex and presents no reason for panic.
Ronald Brownstein notes in The Atlantic that “Democrats have long considered Latinos a cornerstone of… their ‘coalition of transformation,’ and assumed that more of these voters in the electorate translates to a widening advantage for their party.” However, he writes, “Trump’s performance has introduced slivers of doubt.” Brownstein states Latino men, specifically, “responded to Trump’s swaggering and belligerent persona,” as many “do express conservative views on a number of racial and cultural flashpoints that align with Trump’s polarizing messaging.” However, despite Trump’s “real” advances, many pollsters view his “2020 performance with Latinos mostly as a reversion to the mean after a low ebb in 2016.” Ultimately, he says “Trump’s unexpected improvement underscores” that a “constituency this big” is not “a monolith.”
On The Right
While Republicans see a complex political calculus with respect to the Latino vote, they also see an opportunity to continue pushing their message.
In The American Conservative, Santi Ruiz and Lars Schonander call the lesson from 2020 “complicated,” stressing the difficulty of assigning “national-level explanations.” In fact, they state “The more one digs into the data, the more one finds difficulty in describing Hispanic voters as a block at all.” However, if forced to paint with a broad brush, they’d say that in Texas, “Biden gained with suburban moms” while “Trump gained with POC (people of color) workers.” The writers describe a progresssive media agenda that questions the “contrived nature of Latino/Hispanic racial identity” while describing minority Trump voters as “culturally white.” While Ruiz and Schonander agree that Latinos are not a monolithic voting bloc, they point out that Trump’s “biggest gains were not among the most assimilated, white-identifying Hispanics” but rather “in the communities that were most Hispanic.” In short, they believe that “Hispanic voters are there to be won” in the 2022 mid-terms and beyond.
Flag This: Trump’s Latino Support
Outside of the Hispanic voting bloc, support for former President Trump appears to be slipping the further the country moves away from the election, Olafimihan Oshin reports for The Hill. According to a new NBC News poll, “44 percent of Republicans saying they support the former president more than they do the Republican Party [which] compares to 50 percent who said they support the party more than the former president.” The reason this matters is because “marks the first time since July 2019 when party supporters outnumbered Trump supporters, according to NBC polls, and the first time that party supporters have reached 50 percent on the question.”