🇺🇸 Trump's Gains, Biden's Pains

Good morning, and happy Tuesday. Wildlife officials successfully rescued a humpback whale after it was discovered entangled in a web of crabbing gear.

Plus, four men were charged Monday over the theft of an 18-carat gold toilet from Blenheim Palace, the sprawling English mansion where British wartime leader Winston Churchill was born.

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Left: Jen Psaki Torches Trump Using Old Gaslighting Tactics At Trial Huff Post, Lee Moran

Right: The Mindset of Our Anti-Semites Victor Davis Hanson, American Greatness

Right: No Fourth Term for Barack Obama David P. Deavel, Association of Mature Americans

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World: Zelensky invites Trump to Ukraine and says former president ‘can’t bring peace’ because of Putin (CNN)

World: Israeli forces cut off north Gaza to isolate Hamas as Palestinian deaths surpass 10,000 (AP)

World: Moscow bombs Odesa after Ukraine destroys Russian warship in Crimea (POLITICO)

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2024

Trump’s Gains, Biden’s Pains

New polling shows Former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in several key battleground states. Trump is enjoying a significant lead in Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia, and narrower ones in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. All five states were won by Joe Biden in 2020.

Reporting from the Left: Trump set to romp Biden (Axios)

Reporting from the Right: Trump leading Biden in 5 key battleground states as voters cringe at Biden's age (FOX News)

From The Flag: The polling was conducted by The New York Times and Siena College. It found 59% of voters strongly or somewhat disapprove of Biden, and 67% believe the country is headed in the wrong direction. Economic issues ranked the highest importance for voters at 57%. While 49% of voters said there’s hardly any chance they support Biden, 46% said the same of Trump. Here’s how both sides are covering the development.

LEFT-LEANING SENTIMENT

Mixed: Not Great vs. Don’t Panic

• “Polls continue to show both presidential frontrunners ‘as tied as tied can be’, with third-party candidates tying for a distant third”

• This is cause for concern, but it is definitely not the end. Biden and his campaign definitely have the resources to take the lead.

• The polling deficit across these key states is mainly about younger, nonwhite, and less engaged voters.

With the US election a year away, most Americans don’t want Biden or Trump Lauren Gambino, The Guardian: “As it stands, the country appears to be hurtling toward an election few Americans want – but that might be one of the most consequential in modern US history. … Interviews with leading pollsters of both parties offer a portrait of a divided electorate, united only in its pessimism. Americans, surveys show, are deeply disenchanted with their prospects for president, the state of the economy and the direction of the country. … Some Democrats joke warily that, despite notching several significant legislative achievements during his first term, Biden’s age is more than twice his job approval rating, which slipped to a personal low of 37% last month amid sharp erosion in support from Democrats, according to a recent Gallup poll. While voters consistently express deep dissatisfaction over his handling of the economy. The outcome of the 2024 presidential election, projected to be the most expensive of all time, will probably be decided by a few thousand votes in a handful of critical states.”

Why Democrats shouldn’t despair over concerning new polls about Biden Dean Obeidallah, CNN: “… these polls about a hypothetical matchup between the two are alarming and a bit distressing. But they should not cause panic. … There are a few reasons… President Barack Obama faced high disapproval ratings the year before the 2012 election (although not as high as Biden’s). And a number of early national polls suggested a close race between Obama and Mitt Romney, who would go on to be the GOP’s presidential nominee. … What happened? Obama won in 2012 by nearly 5 million votes and dominated the Electoral College 332 to 206 votes. … We all get that Obama and Biden are not the same candidates. But what is instructive is that Obama won in large part by way of a superior ground game in terms of ensuring that voters who supported him actually did cast a ballot. …given Biden’s ability so far to outraise Trump in terms of campaign donations, his campaign has more resources to invest robustly in this key part of the campaign. … The other issue Biden wins more trust than Trump on is the handling of “democracy,” according to the new polls.”

One more opinion piece from the Left: Why Biden Is Behind, and How He Could Come Back Nate Cohn, The New York Times

RIGHT-LEANING SENTIMENT

Bad News for Biden

• Voters are dissatisfied with Biden because everything is falling apart under him and he’s too old. Additionally, multiple criminal and civil trials against Trump are reinforcing Republican support for him.

• Biden and his team would be foolish to think they can coast into a second term on voters’ dislike for Trump.

• This polling indicates that voters are deeply dissatisfied with Biden’s policies, which have personally hurt them.

Three reasons Trump is leading Biden Byron York, Washington Examiner: “The news set off panic among many Democrats. After all, the party has bet its future on Biden. It will soon be too late to take any other course. It may be too late already. … Things have gone to hell since Biden became president. The New York Times quotes a voter in Pennsylvania who said, ‘The world is falling apart under Biden.’ … The economy, the border, crime, war in Ukraine, war in Israel — a lot has gone terribly wrong since Biden entered the White House. … Things have gone to hell since Biden became president. The New York Times quotes a voter in Pennsylvania who said, "The world is falling apart under Biden." Why wouldn't voters think that? The economy, the border, crime, war in Ukraine, war in Israel — a lot has gone terribly wrong since Biden entered the White House. … Reason three has to do with the intensity of the way Republicans view Trump. The short version is that four indictments, plus a lawsuit in New York designed to destroy him financially, plus lawsuits across the country intended to remove his name from the 2024 ballot…have significantly hardened the determination of some Trump supporters to keep supporting him.”

New York Times to Biden: Our New Poll Shows Trump Beating You Handily in Swing States Jim Geraghty National Review: “Could these numbers change between now and November 2024? Sure. … But Biden and his team would be fools to bet on lingering distaste of Trump being enough to save his reelection bid. Broad swaths of the public are telling pollsters that life under Biden is harder than it was under Trump, and they see Biden’s policies as hurting them, not helping them. … It’s a lousy economy, even with the national unemployment rate at just 3.9 percent. …in the middle of this intense frustration with the economy, the president and his team deliberately chose to run on “Bidenomics.” It is as if the almost 81-year-old president chose to run on a theme of youthful vigor and sharp-mindedness. And yet, if Biden doesn’t want to run on his economic record, what options does he have? His terrific record on securing the border? National security? Nope, a majority of voters are yearning for the old Trump approach on those issues

One more opinion piece from the Right: Trump Ahead in Five Swing States, Voters Resent Biden Policies Caroline Downey, National Review

FLAG THIS

Swing States Keep Swinging

All five swing states referenced in the New York Times/Siena College polling were won by Biden in 2020 and were essential to his ultimate victory. In Nevada, a state Biden narrowly carried in 2020, Trump boasts 52% support to Biden’s 41%. Trump also tops Biden in Georgia with 49% to Biden’s 43%. In Arizona, Trump carries 49% of the vote to the current president’s 44%. In Michigan, Trump holds a 5-point lead as well: 48% to Biden’s 43% (The New York Times).

FLAG FINDS

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